4 Comments

Any sensible authority would be like "hang on a minute, we need to take stock of what's going on, understand the implications of this trend and attempt to reverse it, this is exceptionally serious for the country". Instead they just release appalling looking datasets, bury/normalise them and release more and more drugs. There is no one there, that voice is loud and clear and we should treat health "authority" figures accordingly.

Expand full comment
author

I was quite surprised to find any datasets recording disability rates beyond 2020. The ONS have basically made any post-2020 data almost non-existent. It appears the UK government forgot about the Family Resources Survey quietly puttering along in the background!

Unlike most datasets, their points of query have remained consistent, and with the exception of some caveats saying how 2020 onwards used telephone surveys that actually reduce the reporting rates of disabled people (mainly those with hearing disabilities), most of the data is comparable from 2007 to 2023. If anything I would say the disability figure is underreported (I'm disabled and I've never even heard of the Family Resources Survey). They make use of rounding to hundredth-thousands, which make it look like some years haven't changed, however they're the only organisation still publishing meaningful disability figures; the others have obfuscated, changed measurements, or gone silent.

A cursory check verifies the ring of truth; of 2, 3 and 4 person families I personally know, I know at least 1 person who is either disabled or has died in that group. It's worthwhile running the same thought experiment yourself - think of a family of 2, 3 or 4 people you know, and ask yourself if you know anyone who you would consider disabled in that grouping.

It's also worth noting the figures have a particular signal noise to them: flu vaccine take-up rates continued to climb even during the pandemic (see page 20 of this: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/64d0dd3d7a57080013144841/GP-patients-flu-annual-report-2021-to-2022-corrected_final.pdf), which is why I noted the sharp increase of disabled people in 2013-2014 when the UK gov first rolled out annual flu vaccines to children (it is worth noting for adults annual flu shots had been occurring for some time, again reinforcing the fact children are the ones enduring the most risk/harms when we see spikes).

Given the flu shots are being merged with COVID-19 shots (https://www.uhbw.nhs.uk/assets/1/comflucov_results_faqs.pdf) it is most likely the harms stack. Every single person, nay, every single child of our nation, is in danger. How long until that disability rate is 50%? A half-million increase year-on-year is not sustainable.

Expand full comment
founding
Nov 11Liked by The Underdog

One problem is that I think we no longer reliably know the total population of the UK, so it's hard to be precise about the percentage of people with disabilities. Levels of inward migration seem so high and undocumented that we can't accurately know who is here. Having been involved in data-compilation in the 2011 census I know it's inaccurate. So in 2021 I didn't submit a census return and it didn't get chased up, as I knew it wouldn't. I think numbers are out of control and no-one accurately knows any longer who is here. Having said that, yes I agree rates of disability / morbidity certainly seem very high. I look around at elderly friends who took the jab and I grieve for them. I don't yet see it so much in younger cohorts. I think perhaps the unjabbed migrants and the jabbed indigenous population are going to become more and more obviously discrepant in health status as time goes on. I hope I'm wrong.

Expand full comment
author

Percentage between numbers of disabled and total population is approximate, calculated using the nearest year population dataset match. ONS publish approximate population figures mid-yearly (frustratingly), where-as the Family Resources Survey publish figures after a year has ended. The 24% percent was verified and it comes from the total 16.1 million disabled in 2022-2023 published by the Family Resources Survey versus the 67 million population in mid-2022 published by ONS; even ignoring The Daily Beagle calculations, the Family Resources Survey also reports the 24% figure (quoted here: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/family-resources-survey-financial-year-2022-to-2023/family-resources-survey-financial-year-2022-to-2023).

The disabled count is a total count figure by the Family Resources Survey (so they publish figures in the millions with a rounding based on hundredth-thousand, although what type of rounding they use isn't specified). The percentage just happens to be a secondary calculation rather than a main one (that is to say, the Family Resources Survey are claiming to have had 16.1 mil people approximate state they are disabled).

Expand full comment