Will We See The Great Freeze?
An AI comments on the year 1616 revealing a hidden coming disaster
The Daily Beagle has access to OpenAI’s GPT-3, which is an AI that has a broad array of data available it can cover quickly. It previously was asked for comment in The Daily Beagle’s article “AI Rights: Friend or Foe?” on the recognition of artificial sentient life and whether or not they should have rights.
If you’re wondering why we’re asking it about the year 1616, it was mentioned on the German “hungerstones” to indicate a severe drought that had happened historically. It was mentioned as a news story in our merged Daily Beagle Roundup 21 and 22. The warning of the stones includes warnings of food shortages, which prompted interest.
The Daily Beagle uses a broad slew of data sources, including many news outlets, peer reviewed journals, and more, even using an AI to find historical information so we can quickly learn new information.
So we figured it would be best to ask the AI a few historical questions about the year 1616 to see what had happened, and why, that it might serve as a predictor for current events.
Daily Beagle asked:
What happened, economics, food and weather wise during 1616? Be as in-depth as possible.
GPT-3 replied:
1616 was a year of economic and food insecurity as well as bad weather. Many countries experienced famine and crop failures due to a severe drought. In England, the winter of 1615-1616 was one of the coldest on record, and the spring and summer were unusually wet. This led to widespread flooding, which ruined crops and caused food shortages. In France, the drought was so severe that many people died of starvation. In Germany, the drought and resulting food shortages were exacerbated by the Thirty Years' War, which was raging at the time. In Ireland, the drought led to a failed potato crop, which caused a famine that killed over a million people.
Daily Beagle asked:
What was the cause of all of this?
GPT-3 replied:
The cause of all this was a phenomenon known as the Little Ice Age. This was a period of cooler than average temperatures that began in the early 14th century and lasted until the mid-19th century. During this time, there were frequent periods of severe weather, including droughts, cold winters, and wet summers. This led to widespread famine and economic instability.
This is a problem for anyone trying to advocate for global warming, because it shows similar events happened in the past, and what we’re experiencing is a cylindrical set of events.
The AI’s claims are verified in the information sources we could double check. The Little Ice Age can at most cover the years 1300s to 1850s, although it typically spans from the 1500s to 1850s.
The specific part we’re interested in is the “Grindelwald Fluctuation”, which is named after a rapidly expanding Swiss glacier which was shown as proof such an event was occurring. It occurred between 1560 to 1630. As the quoted page notes:
[…] The entries support the notion that the Grindelwald Fluctuation featured some extraordinarily poor weather, such as great frosts, floods, severe storms, unseasonal snowfalls and droughts. […]
This will of course sound familiar, because this year we’ve had unprecedented heatwaves (the drought being referred), flash floods and severe storms. A year prior there was a major snowstorm in otherwise very hot Texas, a State very close to the otherwise very warm equator.
Besides the obvious warning signs of a food shortage, the 1616 hungerstones tells us that this level of drought has not been seen for 406 years, and would also suggest, contrary to the dubious assertions of warming, there are, in-fact, signs of a Little Ice Age emerging, especially given the patterns are a match, as are the outcomes.
Indeed, in response to the freezing of Texas, the Daily Mail actually quipped it wasn’t as bad as the Grindelwald Fluctuation, where their article references a document that had been transcribed by the University of Bristol, a document which is unflatteringly named “09594/1”.
The series of accounts are written covering the series of events experienced in both Bristol and in London. They detail everything from 25ft tall Great Floods that dragged away sheep, cattle, hay and grain with people forced to stay in trees for ‘two to three’ days…
… to Great Frosts that freeze river banks so hard that people could light fires on them and hold fairs without risk of falling in…
To extreme winds that prevented ships from leaving harbour. The Daily Mail remarks that the freezing cold events lasted for 7 decades, or 70 years. The starvation got so bad that the poor were left in “great want” of grain. Dogs and horses were killed for meat, and children even eaten out of desperation. As the document noted:
[…] such mortality that horse flesh and dogs flesh was accounted good meat, and some ate their own children […]
Such events, if coupled with the present energy crisis ongoing in other countries, such as Germany, who won’t extend nuclear power plants, are facing gas prices of $2,862 per one thousand cubic meters (an issue impacting wider Europe), as Germans themselves pay a gas levy, and to save on gas, forced to switch to coal, turn off lights and have cold showers.
If this is combined with a Great Freeze could, it spell one of the biggest disasters imaginable if it were to happen this winter. As Watts Up With That noted, Germany already almost got sideswiped by a freezing winter back in 2021. Phys.org commented sudden stratospheric heating would lead to the freezing we saw back in 2021. With a heatwave this intense, could it occur again?
With the dry temperatures having evaporated most forms of moisture, it is likely what little moisture there is, will freeze easily and readily in such low temperatures, creating either a deep and wide frost, or a very hard, long lasting one. Ice everywhere, on roads, that cannot be shifted.
Eerily Fauci had immorally threatened the unvaccinated with “looking at a winter of severe illness and death” at the end of 2021.
The Daily Beagle cannot anticipate which of the severe weather events historically could happen, whether extreme wind, extreme cold, extreme floods, if any, or when, but the presence of heatwaves clearly does not mean the absence of freezing cold, as Texas and Bristol demonstrates, and readers should prepare accordingly.
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P.S. My source is an ancient Farmer's Almanac article from the 80s, but I clearly recall it discussing sunspots and the Little Ice Age, and saying that 2020-ish was the pivotal point. My question is: will greenhouse atmospheric warming make it worse or mitigate it?
If one looks into the Grinewald fluctuation, one encounters discussion of changing oceanic currents ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age ) ( https://www.earth.columbia.edu/articles/view/3335 ).
Original "global warming" (a newspaper term, hardly worth scientific mention) proposed, as one of a few major possible scenarios, that atmospheric heat accumulated by greenhouse gases could alter ocean currents by excessive freshwater runoff (glacier melt, mostly) desalinating surface currents, changing the specific gravities of different currents so that some that once rose now fell et vice versa.
Off the coast of NW Europe, this was forecast to create a Little Ice Age, something ye olde global atmospheric warming (not same as "global warming") theorists were well familiar with, being climatologists and all that.
Global climate oscillation<>disruption"(GCOD) would be an accurate scientific term for what the greenhouse gas models explore, but who uses genuinely scientific words and meanings these days?
Pre-existing extreme climate cycles obviously exist. Majorly messing with said cycles, during their century of their expected renaissance, by burning over 208 billion barrels of oil the atmosphere, is only going to exacerbate those cycles, and so is worth considering.
GCOD was politicized in the early 80s by Maggie Thatcher when she wanted to demonise striking coal miners as evil global warmsters. The scientific research/debate since then has grown increasingly corrupt and is now an infomercial for the Buy $$$ Green shitshow, but the original science is still real and what we're experiencing fits one of its main forecasts.
The climate is experiencing one of its periodic fits of the flu: either too hot or too cold, but we're begging to make it much worse.
Not that anything but enormous conservation (including majorly reducing the production of human beings) and an all-out nuclear energy program would do squat... which rather fits the idea of covid/culling being an ultimately SinoRussian thing. There is no way any one in our Black Friday at WalMart culture will conserve unless forced to, and human beings do NOT cull themselves: they cull others. Any human or critter they can get ahold of.
Which leads me to think that, if anything, Putin is out Davosing the Davosites in their own game. With, apparently, little ethnic sentimental feelings getting in the way of him letting his fellow Russians take it as hard or harder than the rest of the "global community".
https://thumbs.dreamstime.com/z/human-figures-circle-holding-hands-around-coronavirus-red-background-solidarity-concept-d-illustration-covid-colorful-177138314.jpg
As Dr. Bronner would say: all one! All one!
Excellent work, dog.
Me, I prefer global plagues/plaguesters to full-bore thermonuke exchange, so I am not among the outraged. After all, we're just https://youtu.be/9fAViQJA1JA .